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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Down 70%
Total Value
$3.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
7 of 10 top traders (70%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3d8d92b1...173416
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-31-2026-5pm-et