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PolyConsensus

2026 Midterm Elections: What Top Polymarket Traders Hold

The US midterm elections are on November 3, 2026. These are the Polymarket election markets in which at least five of the roughly 2,000 top traders we track hold a position. For each one you see the side most of those traders hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it, and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a record of who holds what, not a forecast. It is not a probability, and in our backtests following it did not pay on average — see how it works for what we have and have not measured.

Election markets listed
612
Election Day
2 days to go
Prices as of
Nov 1, 13:41 UTC

Senate (83)

House (109)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 109.

Governor (96)

Presidential race and nominations (158)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 158.

Other races and elections (166)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 166.

Recently settled election markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: the trader leaderboard, large trades, the API.