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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Down 56%
Total Value
$866.06
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4ef90ead...be4cea
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-11-2026