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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 43%
Total Value
$535.83
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 7 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc947a45e...123c9e
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-7-2026