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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes17%
No84%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance18.2%
16.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$448.79
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
548.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3d05648e...92ab2c
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-65-89