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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
25
No 68%
Total Value
$35.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
17 of 25 top traders (68%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7846774d...ff6a90
Slug
friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-october-31-2026