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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
9
No 56%
Total Value
$6.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c881188...3ef46c
Slug
friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-september-30-2026