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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 23?
Resolved No. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 30%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 10 top traders (30%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4a2925f3...f32b2e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-austin-on-october-23-2026-84-85f