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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 50%
Total Value
$606.63
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 10 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x848f928b...44e0fd
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-november-1-2026-21c