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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?
Resolved No. 8% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Yes 8%
Total Value
$382.95
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 12 top traders (8%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7390364f...f03523
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-october-12-2026-20c