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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?
Resolved No. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 46%
Total Value
$123.78
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 13 top traders (46%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ea018a5...5e96bf
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-october-3-2026-20c