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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 60%
Total Value
$408.68
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 10 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71fe65a0...d31ead
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-october-31-2026-84-85f