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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?
Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
18
No 78%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 18 top traders (78%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e41741d...088cdc
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-15-2026-33c