Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 56%
Total Value
$625.84
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfbf82362...9db386
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-25-2026-33c