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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?
Resolved Yes. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
No 79%
Total Value
$55.91
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 14 top traders (79%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4f14fa6b...262aa2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-5-2026-33c