Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 25%
Total Value
$254.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 8 top traders (25%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x9c30c53b...9a19e9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-9-2026-33c