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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?
Resolved Yes. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
21
No 90%
Total Value
$53.54
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
19 of 21 top traders (90%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b1352ec...98661a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-19-2026-62-63f