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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?
Resolved Yes. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 58%
Total Value
$29.07
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 12 top traders (58%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe23e9880...4817e1
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-4-2026-62-63f