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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 26?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 25%
Total Value
$603.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 8 top traders (25%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9cdb36b2...520ecd
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-october-26-2026-64-65f