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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
10
No 70%
Total Value
$405.37
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 10 top traders (70%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x65882cb4...3da0af
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-4-2026-25c