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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?
Resolved Yes. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 73%
Total Value
$257.3
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa32eb20f...966e16
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-19-2026-17c