Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$180.66
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa8bf0ae0...a4e959
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-20-2026-16c