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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 78%
Total Value
$90.26
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 9 top traders (78%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5160c37d...11c7c4
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-28-2026-17c