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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 7 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1471f957...f29dff
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-7-2026-15c