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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$131.73
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x28b9edb9...48484d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-september-29-2026-17c