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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
35
No 57%
Total Value
$60.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
20 of 35 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x54644fe4...f6c47e
Slug
us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-24