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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 70%
Total Value
$421.74
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 10 top traders (70%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33063ef6...e0016e
Slug
will-170-189-ships-transit-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-between-october-19-october-25