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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$494.97
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7d1af69c...356dfc
Slug
will-190-209-ships-transit-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-between-october-19-october-25