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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 57%
Total Value
$381.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x663ddbc3...d24077
Slug
will-20-24-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-october-19-october-25