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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$9.97
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf05da66e...2e8e8a
Slug
will-230-or-more-ships-transit-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-between-october-19-october-25