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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 33%
Total Value
$458.35
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 9 top traders (33%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0ec83a9e...eb17b2
Slug
will-fewer-than-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-october-19-october-25