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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Yes 60%

Total Value

$344.2

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 5 top traders (60%)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xaa350365...1689a5
Slug
will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt38-in-october

Traders in this Market

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