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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes9%
No91%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance9.9%
8.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$910.56
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1010.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d92e893...c4e8e9
Slug
will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-1050000-or-more