Consensus PnL $44K · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · PM monthly #366 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$44.2K
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#40
Source
PM monthly #366
Trades
3
Markets
2
Volume
$11.5K
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 30¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x1F4e655BB78BBd93038ceaf0040794Cce3df49c8-1776787899753's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 50%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.