Consensus PnL $6.0K · win rate 71% (125–50, n=175) · was PM monthly #1000 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$6.0K
Record
125W / 50L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 175 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#705
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
13
Markets
188
Volume
$3.8K
Specialties
21 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 51¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x3968b9ccb92062667295229330f8051afd7d6346's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 48%(won 90% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 100% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.