Consensus PnL $59K · win rate 71% (406–166, n=572) · was PM monthly #700 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$59.4K
Record
406W / 166L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 572 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#691
Source
PM monthly #700
Trades
120
Markets
574
Volume
$2.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Yes $5.0K · now 99¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (72% of 47)
Specialties
512 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 74¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 44% of 32)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 66% of 119)
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 86% of 343)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.