Consensus PnL $82K · win rate 71% (299–125, n=424) · was PM monthly #830 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$82.4K
Record
299W / 125L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 424 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#699
Source
PM monthly #830
Trades
805
Markets
534
Volume
$1.7M
Specialties
464 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 73¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xAA08417743cA4Ed010Ce0d27899b530E50faD98a-1772583788295's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 11% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 36% of 33)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 59% of 152)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 90% of 270)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.