Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 85% (122–22, n=144) · PM monthly #714 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$25.1K
Record
122W / 22L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 144 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#341
Source
PM monthly #714
Trades
269
Markets
265
Volume
$445.7K
Specialties
133 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 85¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 0% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 40% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 56% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 80%(won 97% of 106)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.