Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 98% (3350–85, n=3435) · was PM monthly #775 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$24.2K
Record
3350W / 85L
Win Rate
98.0%
of 3435 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#94
Source
PM monthly #775
Trades
634
Markets
3,597
Volume
$26.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports $1.1K · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
Specialties
3,394 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 97¢- NBA
+2 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 98¢
ROI +4%
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 92% of 13 at an average 99¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −15%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 36% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 57% of 30)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 99% of 3343)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.