Consensus PnL $901K · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · PM monthly #21 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$900.9K
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#33
Source
PM monthly #21
Trades
50
Markets
4
Volume
$7.7K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $2.9K · now 40¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (83% of 42)
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $1.7K · now 2¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (86% of 21)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 52¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Abkha's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.