Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 44% (130–168, n=298) · was PM monthly #994 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$23.3K
Record
130W / 168L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 298 settled
Batting Avg
60.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2247
Source
PM monthly #994
Record (90 d)
116/284 · 41%
Trades
391
Markets
390
Volume
$479.2K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen KhachanovDenis Shapovalov $518 · now 86¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Karen Khachanov)
Specialties
246 settled consensus markets · held side won 39% at an average entry of 36¢- Tennis
+3 pts
side won 41% of 155 · avg entry 38¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 55%(won 4% of 136)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 23% of 13)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 77% of 22)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 93% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.