Consensus PnL $12K · win rate 40% (4–6, n=10) · was PM monthly #914 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$11.8K
Record
4W / 6L
Win Rate
40.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2103
Source
PM monthly #914
Trades
55
Markets
13
Volume
$68.9K
Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 24¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where LmmmxYyqXz5221u's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 67%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.