Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 53% (546–481, n=1027) · PM monthly #931 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$35.5K
Record
546W / 481L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 1027 settled
Batting Avg
85.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1553
Source
PM monthly #931
Trades
336
Markets
1,101
Volume
$1.4M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over $1.7K · now 91¢ · in at 58¢against the consensus (Under)
Specialties
651 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 56¢- Tennis
+40 pts
side won 95% of 104 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +36%
- MLB
+29 pts
side won 82% of 164 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +28%
- Other Sports
+38 pts
side won 96% of 23 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 25% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 77% of 127)
- 50–70¢: 71%(won 86% of 460)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 89% of 44)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.