Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 99% (2352–19, n=2371) · was PM monthly #662 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.1K
Record
2352W / 19L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 2371 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#86
Source
PM monthly #662
Trades
217
Markets
2,383
Volume
$4.1M
Specialties
1,769 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 99¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Next-Licensing's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 99%(won 100% of 1760)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.