Consensus PnL $160K · win rate 57% (301–230, n=531) · PM monthly #419 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$160.4K
Record
301W / 230L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 531 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1336
Source
PM monthly #419
Trades
202
Markets
577
Volume
$1.7M
Specialties
321 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 48¢- NBA
+52 pts
side won 100% of 97 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +58%
- Other Sports
+47 pts
side won 96% of 217 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +49%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 93% of 29)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 98% of 102)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 97% of 182)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.