Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 100% (7–0, n=7) · was PM monthly #1000 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.9K
Record
7W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 7 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#17
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
16
Markets
8
Volume
$3.6K
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 38¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where X1234567's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.