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49

dmoralez

Consensus PnL $56K · win rate 79% (23–6, n=29) · PM monthly #268 · no open consensus position

0x492bb408...055b45eePolymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$55.9K

Record

23W / 6L

Win Rate

79.0%

of 29 settled

Batting Avg

56.8%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#476

Source

PM monthly #268

Trades

2,186

Markets

441

Volume

$10.1M

Specialties

25 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 86¢
  • Tennis

    +10 pts

    side won 96% of 25 · avg entry 86¢

    ROI −1%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 1)
  • 30–50¢: 0%
  • 50–70¢: 8%(won 100% of 2)
  • 70¢ and up: 88%(won 100% of 22)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.