Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 99% (10676–37, n=10713) · PM monthly #799 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$22.3K
Record
10676W / 37L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 10713 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#84
Source
PM monthly #799
Trades
183
Markets
10,756
Volume
$7.7M
Specialties
7,502 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 100¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where looppau's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 100% of 479 at an average 100¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 43% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 0% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 7491)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.