Consensus PnL $401K · win rate 38% (75–120, n=195) · PM monthly #337 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$401.0K
Record
75W / 120L
Win Rate
38.0%
of 195 settled
Batting Avg
43.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2127
Source
PM monthly #337
Trades
1,072
Markets
319
Volume
$8.1M
Specialties
307 settled consensus markets · held side won 33% at an average entry of 34¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where pikachusplace's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: NBA — held side won 13% of 32 at an average 37¢ entry (−24 pts against the price), ROI −34%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 35%(won 18% of 106)
- 30–50¢: 51%(won 35% of 158)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 56% of 39)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.