Consensus PnL $79K · win rate 77% (85–26, n=111) · PM monthly #345 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$78.7K
Record
85W / 26L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 111 settled
Batting Avg
81.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#537
Source
PM monthly #345
Record (90 d)
34/63 · 54%
Trades
2,715
Markets
171
Volume
$1.8M
Specialties
116 settled consensus markets · held side won 56% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+7 pts
side won 56% of 115 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 25% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 42%(won 45% of 49)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 69% of 55)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 75% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.